The new paper “Anthropogenic influence on extreme temperature and precipitation in Central Asia” authored by Dr. Bijan Fallah and the PIK Team, has been published in the Nature Scientific Reports. (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-33921-6)
The study investigates the contribution of anthropogenic influence forcing extreme temperature and precipitation events in Central Asia during the last six decades.
The analysis shows a higher risk of extreme heat events over large parts of Central Asia due to anthropogenic influence. Furthermore, a higher likelihood of extreme precipitation over Central Asia, especially over Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, can be attributed to anthropogenic forcing. Given that these regions show a high risk of rainfall-triggered landslides and floods during historical times, the study reports that human-induced climate warming can contribute to extreme precipitation events over vulnerable areas of Central Asia.
The added value of this study lies in its use of high-resolution data and downscaling methodology to investigate the contribution of anthropogenic forcing to extreme temperature and precipitation events in Central Asia. In addition, the high-resolution data set can be used in impact studies focusing on attributing extreme events in Central Asia and is freely available to the scientific community.
This study is unique in its focus on the contribution of anthropogenic forcing to extreme temperature and precipitation events in Central Asia using high-resolution data and downscaling methodology. Furthermore, the results can inform mitigation and adaptation policies in the region.
